Market Breadth Data******************************

Tuesday, March 21, 2017

$SPY Breadth and Momentum

Two warnings were issued last week: that market breadth is overbought, and that weekly swing time is ready for reversal. Today's break below support at 2350/2355 confirms the analysis:




















The red bar at the bottom shows that momentum turned bearish as well.

$FANG and $SQID Divergence

While the FANGs are advancing in a 5th wave, the SQIDs have stalled in wave three:



Continued weakness in SQIDs will put the FANG's advance in jeopardy.

Sunday, March 19, 2017

$SPY Angles and Cycles

Assuming that a daily top is in, the next cycle turn is on April 12th, and the 1 x 1 angle can give us a price target estimate:



For this target to be reached, two things need to happen: momentum will have to remain neutral or turn bearish, and price must remain at or below the 1 x 1 angle.

Saturday, March 18, 2017

$SPY Momentum and Trend

While daily momentum and market breadth indicators are showing signs of weakening, weekly trend and momentum have yet to show any signs of reversal:




Weekly Swing Time, however, alerts that all major averages are due for a trend reversal.

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

$SPY Pattern, Trend and Market Breadth

The SPX is closing in on the March 1st high just as market breadth is getting overbought:
















(Source: Market Breadth)

This suggests that, in the near term, the market may have trouble sustaining a continued move higher.

$SPY Trend and Momentum

The SPX remains momentum-less, stuck in a narrow trading range ahead of the FOMC meeting:















E-mini resistance at 2395/2400, support at 2350.

Monday, March 13, 2017

$SPY Pattern and Trend

As mentioned at the end of last week, momentum is stuck in neutral ahead of the FOMC meeting, and the market finds itself in a narrow trading range:















E-mini resistance at 2395/2400, support at 2350.
The numbers are similar for the SPX:


Thursday, March 09, 2017

$SPY Pattern and Trend

Support at 2350 held, and the index is bouncing off oversold market breadth readings:
















In addition, the e-mini broke above the 1 x 1 down-sloping angle.






















Upside target 2395, support at 2350.
Momentum is neutral, meaning that the risk of whipsaw is high.

Wednesday, March 08, 2017

$SPY Pattern and Trend

Low VIX and continued complacency in the face of deteriorating market breadth usually leads to a ooooops moment:










Key SPX support at 2350.

Monday, March 06, 2017

$SPY Gap and Trend

As expected, the gap got filled and daily momentum remains neutral. Judging by VIX, the majority is expecting the sideways/up phase to continue:




















Market breadth, however, is still declining, and price is below the daily 1 x 1 down-sloping angle from the March 1st high:


Sunday, March 05, 2017

$SPY Momentum and Trend

While daily momentum turned neutral, weekly momentum remained strong and will turn neutral only on a drop below 2360:

















The picture for the NDX is very similar, weekly momentum will turn neutral on a drop below 5300:
















Time-wise, both instruments are overextended and due for a pull-back.

The average retracement is 4% for both the SPX and NDX.


Thursday, March 02, 2017

$SPY Gap and Trend

On all three prior occasions the gap has either been filled, or at least the high preceding the gap has been tested:












This makes 2371.5 first support level.

$SPY Momentum and Trend

What a difference a speech makes, allowing the major indices to regain positive momentum !
















(SPX Chart)

















(NDX Chart)

In fact, the last day of negative momentum was in 2016, January 30th.

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